web/ufHelp/A10.html


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24

<head>
</head>
<body>
<h2>How your answers were used to produce the timeline above:</h2>

<p>The timeline of <strong>A8</strong> showed your estimate that a catastrophe of any sort will
halt progress.</p>

<p><strong>A9</strong> displayed the probability of either type of AI having occurred at various times in the future, taking into account effects of intelligence enhancement technologies.</p>

<p><img src="../img/A10.png" alt="Overview of process" /></p>
<p>The information from <strong>A8</strong> and <strong>A9</strong> combined gives the probability for a civilization-scale disruption (either human-level AI or a catastrophe halting all scientific progress) having occurred at various times in the future.</p>

<p style="font-size: 0.8em;">*The probabilities aren't just added &mdash; take a look at the <a target="_blank" href="A10Math.html">gory math version</a> for more detail.</p>

<h2>You're done!</h2>

<p><strong>Thanks for completing the process! You can go back and
change your inputs if you want to see how they affect the answers, or
you can view the <a target="_blank" href="../faq.html">frequently asked questions</a>
or dive into the <a target="_blank" href="GoryMath.html">gory mathematical
details</a>.</p>

</body>