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Resent-From: Peter Todd <pete@petertodd.org>
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Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2016 18:02:13 -0500
From: Peter Todd <pete@petertodd.org>
To: Eric Voskuil <eric@voskuil.org>
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On Wed, Mar 02, 2016 at 11:01:36AM -0800, Eric Voskuil via bitcoin-dev wrot=
e:
> > A 6 month investment with 3 months on the high subsidy and 3 months on =
low subsidy would not be made=E2=80=A6
>=20
> =20
>=20
> Yes, this is the essential point. All capital investments are made based =
on expectations of future returns. To the extent that futures are perfectly=
knowable, they can be perfectly factored in. This is why inflation in Bitc=
oin is not a tax, it=E2=80=99s a cost. These step functions are made contin=
uous by their predictability, removing that predictability will make them -=
- unpredictable.
You know, I do agree with you.
But see, this is one of the reasons why we keep reminding people that
strictly speaking a hardfork *is* an altcoin, and the altcoin can change
any rule currently in Bitcoin.
It'd be perfectly reasonable to create an altcoin with a 22-million-coin
limit and an inflation schedule that had smooth, rather than abrupt,
drops. It'd also be reasonable to make that altcoin start with the same
UTXO set as Bitcoin as a means of initial coin distribution.
If miners choose to start mining that altcoin en-mass on the halving,
all the more power to them. It's our choice whether or not we buy those
coins. We may choose not to, but if 95% of the hashing power decides to
go mine something different we have to accept that under our current
chosen rules confirmations might take a long time.
Of course, personally I agree with Gregory Maxwell: this is all fairly
unlikely to happen, so the discussion is academic. But we'll see.
--=20
https://petertodd.org 'peter'[:-1]@petertodd.org
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