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authorMike Hearn <mike@plan99.net>2015-06-01 17:33:41 +0200
committerbitcoindev <bitcoindev@gnusha.org>2015-06-01 15:33:49 +0000
commit93293feba32b9287fa8ab8975130fe055f6dd58b (patch)
treea6ca3cf3d179dfb13fbc8b0fbab9886e6ecedc9d
parent87dcbab2846b4fb4156d09c28cfcf6f795ffc0b4 (diff)
downloadpi-bitcoindev-93293feba32b9287fa8ab8975130fe055f6dd58b.tar.gz
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Re: [Bitcoin-development] Fwd: Block Size Increase Requirements
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+Subject: Re: [Bitcoin-development] Fwd: Block Size Increase Requirements
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+--089e0122e968f9ce9b0517768c4a
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+
+I'm OK with a smaller size + a formula that ramps it up over time. We are
+far from having enough demand to fill 10MB blocks, let alone 20MB today.
+
+To put it in perspective, to be feeling squeezed inside 10MB within two
+years, we would need to double usage five times. I wish I knew a way to
+make that happen. So the chances of us going to 20MB blocks full of real
+transactions any time soon is close to zero short of some amazing killer
+app that takes the world by storm (in which case: yay, nice problem to
+have). As long as capacity significantly outpaces organic growth, we should
+avoid problems.
+
+The reason to pick 20MB then is merely one of expedience: we have to pick a
+number, 20 is tested and seems to work, and we don't want to get caught by
+surprise if demand does outstrip expectations.
+
+Still, I question the underlying logic. We have no idea what connectivity
+into China will look like a few years from now: it's seems to be a function
+of politics rather than hardware trends. It might go down rather than up.
+So 10 vs 20 feels a bit arbitrary. We can't let the Chinese government
+dictate how Bitcoin is used, that would never be accepted by the rest of
+the world. But if we optimistically assume things don't get worse, and 10
+== more acceptance, then alright - it should make no difference in practice.
+
+--089e0122e968f9ce9b0517768c4a
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+
+<div dir=3D"ltr">I&#39;m OK with a smaller size + a formula that ramps it u=
+p over time. We are far=C2=A0from having enough demand to fill 10MB blocks,=
+ let alone 20MB today.<div><br></div><div>To put it in perspective, to be f=
+eeling squeezed inside 10MB within two years, we would need to double usage=
+ five times. I wish I knew a way to make that happen. So the chances of us =
+going to 20MB blocks full of real transactions any time soon is close to ze=
+ro short of some amazing killer app that takes the world by storm (in which=
+ case: yay, nice problem to have). As long as capacity significantly outpac=
+es organic growth, we should avoid problems.</div><div><br></div><div>The r=
+eason to pick 20MB then is merely one of expedience: we have to pick a numb=
+er, 20 is tested and seems to work, and we don&#39;t want to get caught by =
+surprise if demand does outstrip expectations.</div><div><div><br></div><di=
+v><div>Still, I question the underlying logic. We have no idea what connect=
+ivity into China will look like a few years from now: it&#39;s seems to be =
+a function of politics rather than hardware trends. It might go down rather=
+ than up. So 10 vs 20 feels a bit arbitrary. We can&#39;t let the Chinese g=
+overnment dictate how Bitcoin is used, that would never be accepted by the =
+rest of the world. But if we optimistically assume things don&#39;t get wor=
+se, and 10 =3D=3D more acceptance, then alright - it should make no differe=
+nce in practice.</div></div></div><div><br></div></div>
+
+--089e0122e968f9ce9b0517768c4a--
+
+