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authorAnton Ragin <anton@etc-group.com>2021-05-17 13:39:02 +0100
committerbitcoindev <bitcoindev@gnusha.org>2021-05-17 12:39:24 +0000
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Re: [bitcoin-dev] Proposal: Force to do nothing for first 9 minutes to save 90% of mining energy
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+References: <d35dee03-2d19-e80a-c577-2151938f9203@web.de>
+ <202105170258.13233.luke@dashjr.org>
+In-Reply-To: <202105170258.13233.luke@dashjr.org>
+From: Anton Ragin <anton@etc-group.com>
+Date: Mon, 17 May 2021 13:39:02 +0100
+Message-ID: <CAPyV_jDsScGQo4_DB8y7-4ZFGyEqM_Sk3YUUteK6HwPRuxOAvQ@mail.gmail.com>
+To: Luke Dashjr <luke@dashjr.org>
+Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="000000000000f546c605c285e1f6"
+X-Mailman-Approved-At: Mon, 17 May 2021 12:44:49 +0000
+Cc: Bitcoin Protocol Discussion <bitcoin-dev@lists.linuxfoundation.org>
+Subject: Re: [bitcoin-dev] Proposal: Force to do nothing for first 9 minutes
+ to save 90% of mining energy
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+
+>> 2. I am not a huge data-center specialist, but it was my understanding
+that they charge per unit of installed (maximum) electricity consumption.
+It would mean that if the miner needs X kilowatts-hour within that 1 minute
+when they are allowed to mine, he/she will have to pay for the same X for
+the remaining 9 minutes - and as such would have no economic incentive not
+to draw that power when idling.
+
+>That sounds kind of exotic, could you take charge of checking to see
+>how true it is?
+
+I am pretty sure that is how it works in data centers absent 'special
+deal', as we use some DCs in our business. However, after reading some
+discussion on this thread it is pretty clear that some (maybe even
+majority?) of miners have some sort of special deal on electricity - some
+use 'spill over' electricity which would otherwise be wasted etc. This kind
+of disproves my point, but not entirely - even 'special deal' electricity
+is very unlikely to be available like water in the tap - you open it when
+you need it, and pay for what you use only.
+
+Variations in power consumption in the grid are very difficult to
+compensate for:
+
+(a) there is no efficient way to store electricity;
+(b) some (majority?) power-generating assets are notoriously difficult to
+throttle up and down - it takes almost a day in some cases to throttle down
+power production on the nuclear power plant for example.
+
+(did you know that sometimes the spot price for electricity goes below
+zero, and consumers are being paid to consume - exactly because it is
+cheaper to pay somebody to consume electricity than to switch off the
+reactor?)
+
+Because of this, an enormous spike in energy consumption every 1 minute in
+10 is the worst possible load profile to any power grid, and would most
+likely result in either miners or power grid infrastructure itself just
+burning off peak energy during the 9 minutes 'cool-down' period.
+
+>> 4. My counter-proposal to the community to address energy consumption
+>> problems would be *to encourage users to allow only 'green miners'
+process
+>> their transaction.* In particular:
+>>...
+>> (b) Should there be some non-profit organization(s) certifying green
+miners
+>> and giving them cryptographic certificates of conformity (either usage of
+>> green energy or purchase of offsets), users could encrypt their
+>> transactions and submit to mempool in such a format that *only green
+miners
+>> would be able to decrypt and process them*.
+
+>Hello centralisation. Might as well just have someone sign miner keys, and
+get
+>rid of PoW entirely...
+>No, it is not centralization -
+
+No, it is not centralization, as:
+
+(a) different miners could use different standards / certifications for
+'green' status, there are many already;
+(b) it does not affect stability of the network in a material way, rather
+creates small (12.5% of revenue max) incentive to move to green sources of
+energy (or buy carbon credits) and get certified - miners who would choose
+to run dirty energy will still be able to do so.
+and
+(c) nothing is being proposed beyond what is already possible - Antpool can
+go green today, and solicit users to send them signed transactions directly
+instead of adding them to a public mempool, under the pretext that it would
+make the transfer 'greener'. What is being proposed is some community
+effort to standardize & promote this approach, because if we manage to make
+Bitcoin green(er) - we will remove what many commentators see as the last
+barrier / biggest risk to even wider Bitcoin adoption.
+
+Not to mention the fact that some aspects of the Bitcoin community are
+pretty centralized already - 'www.bitcoin.org', GitHub repo, certain global
+internet cables / protocols / providers. Centralization is evil only when
+it enables (or makes significantly easier) a threatening attack on the
+network, which does not appear to be the case. It is my personal opinion
+only, though, I would respect it if someone disagrees.
+
+On a separate note, I just want to draw everyone's attention to the fact
+that - assuming if my calculations are correct - carbon credits to offset
+dirty energy burned by miners would cost only *approx 5%* of block rewards
+in USD terms max. On the other hand, BTC price has just collapsed 20%
+because Tesla dropped their adoption citing environmental concerns. If
+every miner on the planet agrees to go green or buy carbon credits, it will
+actually be commercially beneficial to everybody, as the price will likely
+skyrocket - the problem is that such situation absent community
+coordination is not a Pareto-equilibrium state, which means that every
+single miner is incentivised to break away from the commitment to the green
+energy.
+
+Maybe there is another solution to the problem, and huge mining pools need
+to establish a 'green cartel' like OPEC and all start buying carbon credits
+in order to make Bitcoin greener and more widely adopted for their own
+benefit.
+
+On Mon, May 17, 2021 at 3:58 AM Luke Dashjr <luke@dashjr.org> wrote:
+
+> On Friday 14 May 2021 21:41:23 Michael Fuhrmann via bitcoin-dev wrote:
+> > Bitcoin should create blocks every 10 minutes in average. So why do
+> > miners need to mine the 9 minutes after the last block was found? It's
+> > not necessary.
+>
+> It increases security, and is unavoidable anyway.
+>
+> > Problem: How to prevent "pre-mining" in the 9 minutes time window?
+>
+> You can't.
+>
+> > Possible ideas for discussion:
+> >
+> > - (maybe most difficult) global network timer sending a salted hash time
+> > code after 9 minutes. this enables validation by nodes.
+>
+> PoW *is* the global network timer.
+>
+> > - (easy attempt) mining jobs before 9 minutes have a 10 (or 100 or just
+> > high enough) times higher difficulty. so everyone can mine any time but
+> > before to 9 minutes are up there will be a too high downside. It is more
+> > efficient to wait then paying high bills. The bitcoin will get a "puls".
+>
+> There's no timestamp at this stage of consensus.
+>
+> On Sunday 16 May 2021 18:10:12 Karl via bitcoin-dev wrote:
+> > The clock might be implementable on a peer network level by requiring
+> > inclusion of a transaction that was broadcast after a 9 minute delay.
+>
+> That requires a centralised authority.
+>
+> On Sunday 16 May 2021 20:31:47 Anton Ragin via bitcoin-dev wrote:
+> > 1. Has anyone considered that it might be technically not possible to
+> > completely 'power down' mining rigs during this 'cool-down' period of
+> time?
+> > While modern CPUs have power-saving modes, I am not sure about ASICs used
+> > for mining.
+>
+> That would be miners' problem, not the network's... New ASICs would no
+> doubt
+> be made to work more efficiently.
+>
+> > 2. I am not a huge data-center specialist, but it was my understanding
+> that
+> > they charge per unit of installed (maximum) electricity consumption. It
+> > would mean that if the miner needs X kilowatts-hour within that 1 minute
+> > when they are allowed to mine, he/she will have to pay for the same X for
+> > the remaining 9 minutes - and as such would have no economic incentive
+> not
+> > to draw that power when idling.
+>
+> Actually, this would be a good thing: it would heavily discourage
+> datacentre
+> use (which is very harmful to mining decentralisation).
+>
+> > 4. My counter-proposal to the community to address energy consumption
+> > problems would be *to encourage users to allow only 'green miners'
+> process
+> > their transaction.* In particular:
+> >...
+> > (b) Should there be some non-profit organization(s) certifying green
+> miners
+> > and giving them cryptographic certificates of conformity (either usage of
+> > green energy or purchase of offsets), users could encrypt their
+> > transactions and submit to mempool in such a format that *only green
+> miners
+> > would be able to decrypt and process them*.
+>
+> Hello centralisation. Might as well just have someone sign miner keys, and
+> get
+> rid of PoW entirely...
+>
+>
+
+--000000000000f546c605c285e1f6
+Content-Type: text/html; charset="UTF-8"
+Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
+
+<div dir=3D"ltr"><div><span class=3D"gmail-im" style=3D"color:rgb(80,0,80)"=
+>&gt;&gt; 2. I am not a huge data-center specialist, but it was my understa=
+nding that they charge per unit of installed (maximum) electricity consumpt=
+ion. It would mean that if the miner needs X kilowatts-hour within that 1 m=
+inute when they are allowed to mine, he/she will have to pay for the same X=
+ for the remaining 9 minutes - and as such would have no economic incentive=
+ not to draw that power when idling.<br><br></span>&gt;That sounds kind of =
+exotic, could you take charge of checking to see<br>&gt;how true it is?<br>=
+</div><div><span class=3D"gmail-im" style=3D"color:rgb(80,0,80)"><br></span=
+></div><div><div>I am pretty sure that is how it works in data centers=C2=
+=A0absent &#39;special deal&#39;, as we use some DCs in our business. Howev=
+er, after reading some discussion on this thread it is pretty clear that so=
+me (maybe even majority?) of miners have some sort of special deal on elect=
+ricity - some use &#39;spill over&#39; electricity which would otherwise be=
+ wasted etc. This kind of disproves my point, but not entirely - even &#39;=
+special deal&#39; electricity is very unlikely to be available like water i=
+n the tap - you open it when you need it, and pay for what you use only.=C2=
+=A0</div><div><br></div><div>Variations in power consumption in the grid ar=
+e very difficult to compensate for:</div><div><br></div><div>(a) there is n=
+o efficient way to store electricity;<br></div><div>(b) some (majority?) po=
+wer-generating assets are notoriously difficult to throttle up and down - i=
+t takes almost a day in some cases to throttle down power production on the=
+ nuclear power plant for example.</div><div><br></div><div>(did you know th=
+at sometimes the spot price for electricity goes below zero, and consumers =
+are being paid to consume - exactly because it is cheaper to pay somebody t=
+o consume electricity than to switch off the reactor?)</div><div><br></div>=
+<div>Because of this, an enormous=C2=A0spike in energy consumption every 1 =
+minute in 10 is the worst possible load profile to any power grid, and woul=
+d most likely result in either miners or power grid infrastructure itself j=
+ust burning off peak energy during the 9 minutes &#39;cool-down&#39; period=
+.</div><div></div></div><div><span class=3D"gmail-im" style=3D"color:rgb(80=
+,0,80)"><br></span></div><div><span class=3D"gmail-im" style=3D"color:rgb(8=
+0,0,80)">&gt;&gt; 4. My counter-proposal to the community to address energy=
+ consumption<br></span>&gt;&gt; problems would be *to encourage users to al=
+low only &#39;green miners&#39; process<br>&gt;&gt; their transaction.* In =
+particular:<br>&gt;&gt;...<span class=3D"gmail-im" style=3D"color:rgb(80,0,=
+80)"><br>&gt;&gt; (b) Should there be some non-profit organization(s) certi=
+fying green miners<br>&gt;&gt; and giving them cryptographic certificates o=
+f conformity (either usage of<br>&gt;&gt; green energy or purchase of offse=
+ts), users could encrypt their<br></span>&gt;&gt; transactions and submit t=
+o mempool in such a format that *only green miners<br>&gt;&gt; would be abl=
+e to decrypt and process them*.<br><br>&gt;Hello centralisation. Might as w=
+ell just have someone sign miner keys, and get<br>&gt;rid of PoW entirely..=
+.<br></div><div>&gt;No, it is not centralization -=C2=A0</div><div><br></di=
+v><div>No, it is not centralization, as:</div><div><br></div><div>(a) diffe=
+rent miners could use different standards / certifications for &#39;green&#=
+39; status, there are many already;</div><div>(b) it does not affect stabil=
+ity of the network in a material way, rather creates small (12.5% of revenu=
+e max) incentive to move to green sources of energy (or buy carbon credits)=
+ and get certified - miners who would choose to run dirty energy will still=
+ be able to do so.</div><div><div>and</div><div></div></div><div>(c) nothin=
+g is being proposed beyond=C2=A0what is already possible - Antpool can go g=
+reen today, and solicit users to send them signed transactions directly ins=
+tead of adding them to a public mempool, under the pretext that it would ma=
+ke the transfer &#39;greener&#39;. What is being proposed is some community=
+ effort to standardize=C2=A0&amp; promote this approach, because if we mana=
+ge to make Bitcoin green(er) - we will remove what many commentators=C2=A0s=
+ee as the last barrier / biggest risk to even wider Bitcoin adoption.</div>=
+<div><br></div><div>Not to mention the fact that some aspects of the Bitcoi=
+n community are pretty centralized already - &#39;<a href=3D"http://www.bit=
+coin.org">www.bitcoin.org</a>&#39;, GitHub repo, certain global internet ca=
+bles / protocols / providers. Centralization is evil only when it enables (=
+or makes significantly easier) a threatening attack on the network, which d=
+oes not appear to be the case. It is my personal opinion only, though, I wo=
+uld respect it if someone disagrees.</div><div><br></div><div>On a separate=
+ note, I just want to draw everyone&#39;s attention to the fact that - assu=
+ming if my calculations are correct - carbon credits to offset dirty energy=
+ burned by miners would cost only <u>approx 5%</u> of block rewards in USD =
+terms max. On the other hand, BTC price has just collapsed 20% because Tesl=
+a dropped their adoption citing environmental concerns. If every miner on t=
+he planet agrees to go green or buy carbon credits, it will actually be com=
+mercially beneficial to everybody, as the price will likely skyrocket - the=
+ problem is that such situation absent community coordination is not a Pare=
+to-equilibrium state, which means that every single miner is incentivised t=
+o break away from the commitment to the green energy.</div><div><br></div><=
+div>Maybe there is another solution to the problem, and huge mining pools n=
+eed to establish a &#39;green cartel&#39; like OPEC and all start buying ca=
+rbon credits in order to make Bitcoin greener and more widely adopted for t=
+heir own benefit.</div></div><br><div class=3D"gmail_quote"><div dir=3D"ltr=
+" class=3D"gmail_attr">On Mon, May 17, 2021 at 3:58 AM Luke Dashjr &lt;<a h=
+ref=3D"mailto:luke@dashjr.org">luke@dashjr.org</a>&gt; wrote:<br></div><blo=
+ckquote class=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left=
+:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">On Friday 14 May 2021 21:41:2=
+3 Michael Fuhrmann via bitcoin-dev wrote:<br>
+&gt; Bitcoin should create blocks every 10 minutes in average. So why do<br=
+>
+&gt; miners need to mine the 9 minutes after the last block was found? It&#=
+39;s<br>
+&gt; not necessary.<br>
+<br>
+It increases security, and is unavoidable anyway.<br>
+<br>
+&gt; Problem: How to prevent &quot;pre-mining&quot; in the 9 minutes time w=
+indow?<br>
+<br>
+You can&#39;t.<br>
+<br>
+&gt; Possible ideas for discussion:<br>
+&gt;<br>
+&gt; - (maybe most difficult) global network timer sending a salted hash ti=
+me<br>
+&gt; code after 9 minutes. this enables validation by nodes.<br>
+<br>
+PoW *is* the global network timer.<br>
+<br>
+&gt; - (easy attempt) mining jobs before 9 minutes have a 10 (or 100 or jus=
+t<br>
+&gt; high enough) times higher difficulty. so everyone can mine any time bu=
+t<br>
+&gt; before to 9 minutes are up there will be a too high downside. It is mo=
+re<br>
+&gt; efficient to wait then paying high bills. The bitcoin will get a &quot=
+;puls&quot;.<br>
+<br>
+There&#39;s no timestamp at this stage of consensus.<br>
+<br>
+On Sunday 16 May 2021 18:10:12 Karl via bitcoin-dev wrote:<br>
+&gt; The clock might be implementable on a peer network level by requiring<=
+br>
+&gt; inclusion of a transaction that was broadcast after a 9 minute delay.<=
+br>
+<br>
+That requires a centralised authority.<br>
+<br>
+On Sunday 16 May 2021 20:31:47 Anton Ragin via bitcoin-dev wrote:<br>
+&gt; 1. Has anyone considered that it might be technically not possible to<=
+br>
+&gt; completely &#39;power down&#39; mining rigs during this &#39;cool-down=
+&#39; period of time?<br>
+&gt; While modern CPUs have power-saving modes, I am not sure about ASICs u=
+sed<br>
+&gt; for mining.<br>
+<br>
+That would be miners&#39; problem, not the network&#39;s... New ASICs would=
+ no doubt <br>
+be made to work more efficiently.<br>
+<br>
+&gt; 2. I am not a huge data-center specialist, but it was my understanding=
+ that<br>
+&gt; they charge per unit of installed (maximum) electricity consumption. I=
+t<br>
+&gt; would mean that if the miner needs X kilowatts-hour within that 1 minu=
+te<br>
+&gt; when they are allowed to mine, he/she will have to pay for the same X =
+for<br>
+&gt; the remaining 9 minutes - and as such would have no economic incentive=
+ not<br>
+&gt; to draw that power when idling.<br>
+<br>
+Actually, this would be a good thing: it would heavily discourage datacentr=
+e <br>
+use (which is very harmful to mining decentralisation).<br>
+<br>
+&gt; 4. My counter-proposal to the community to address energy consumption<=
+br>
+&gt; problems would be *to encourage users to allow only &#39;green miners&=
+#39; process<br>
+&gt; their transaction.* In particular:<br>
+&gt;...<br>
+&gt; (b) Should there be some non-profit organization(s) certifying green m=
+iners <br>
+&gt; and giving them cryptographic certificates of conformity (either usage=
+ of<br>
+&gt; green energy or purchase of offsets), users could encrypt their<br>
+&gt; transactions and submit to mempool in such a format that *only green m=
+iners<br>
+&gt; would be able to decrypt and process them*.<br>
+<br>
+Hello centralisation. Might as well just have someone sign miner keys, and =
+get <br>
+rid of PoW entirely...<br>
+<br>
+</blockquote></div>
+
+--000000000000f546c605c285e1f6--
+